Remember my previous post on Market is showing sign of weaknesses or strength NOW dated 4 Dec 2022? Let me give another update today.
Everyone knows that the yields are dropping. For example, 10yrs US yields have dropped till 3.586%. Wow it’s so much lower than what we have seen as compared to the recent months. Hence, many people think that the market is recovering, Fed will pivot soon etc.
However, if you look at past one year, example compared to March 2022 (less than 9 months ago), what did you see from the chart below? Does the yield really consider low? Please do your own interpretation.
Let’s look at CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). Can you remember what happened to the market when VIX reach the lower end of 20 and below?
In case for those not sure that is VIX, based on Investopedia, this is the definition.
Fear & Greed Index
Next, we look at Fear & Greed Index. What do you see? We are at neutral but nearer to Greed. What does this tell you?
I understand that this is a bit controversial to investors where people are using Metaphysics/Astrology to predict market condition. From what I have learnt from my friend (do follow him in twitter) who are very into these fields also shared that most of the Masters in this field said that Market will be bad from mid-December onwards.
Conclusion” Be careful with the weeks ahead
From all the above points, markets should not be so smooth sailing soon. Hence, do plan your strategies in order to win in the market!
For those who are in my telegram group/channel (do join us in my groups if you want more real time update) should have already seen what we have posted last Tuesday.
We will see if this will be accurate.
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